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A recent cartoon in my daily newspaper showed two guys sitting in a bar. One is saying to the other: "I did learn something from my to diversify my investment losses."

While this struck me as funny Adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2 Sesame Khaki Men's Women's Shoes Cheap , there is certainly an element of truth to it judging by the number of tragic e-mails and phone calls I have received over the past couple of years.

This was brought home even more so by a reader who responded with strong disagreement to one of my articles. I advocate a methodical, disciplined approach to investing in no-load mutual funds. It keeps me invested during up markets and on the sidelines during down markets. It was exactly this approach that got me and my clients out of the market in October, 2000 and put us back in to take advantage of the April, 2003 upswing.

Judging from the reader's e-mail it appears that he works for a major bank and is adamant about Buy & Hold and Dollar Cost Averaging. Maybe it's the approach he has chosen and he doesn't like hearing that the emperor is wearing no clothes. Nothing personal Adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2 Semi Frozen Yellow Men's Women's Shoes Cheap , honestly, but I find it incomprehensible that anyone, after the bear market and the financial disasters most people experienced, can even consider such theories. The results are just too black & white.

Here are his three main points:



"There is no real feasible way to know whether the market is going to be up or down and when exactly to invest.

"The only logical way for an investor to make money is through the buy and hold approach. This method is used by Warren Buffett and he has consistently beaten the best with an average annual return of 29%.

"Dollar cost average helps to hedge against the ups and downs of the market; moreover Supreme x Adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2 Teach Red Zebra Shoes Cheap , one should have been buying up stocks during the last 3 years, though I do agree with your cashing out at in 2000. I do not wish to insult you, but that seems to me more luck than intuition."



It appears that the only thing that I can agree with him on is, as he says Adidas Yeezy Boost 350 Pirate Black GS Shoes Cheap , there is no reasonable way to "know" whether the market is going to be up or down. However, this statement also underscores that he is not familiar with trend tracking methodologies and the idea that one does not need to "know" or "predict" in order to make profitable investment decisions.

I've put together the composite for my trend tracking index in the 80s and it has consistently served me and my clients well by getting us into and out of the markets in a timely manner.

The reader cites Warren Buffett's success. Sure, he is legendary, but remember that he made most of his fortune during one of the greatest bull markets. He is probably now considered beyond good and evil. But what about the numerous stories in the press over the past 3 years of the heavy losses he sustained in Co